Dark-horse tracker
Fredrik Skjelvik(@fsk)
Candidates under 5% a month ago — today's strongest five (Polymarket)
The Democratic race
Fredrik Skjelvik(@fsk)
Democratic 2028 nominee odds, last 30 days, candidates ≥5% (Polymarket)
The Republican race
Fredrik Skjelvik(@fsk)
Republican 2028 nominee odds, last 30 days, candidates ≥5% (Polymarket)
Winners & losers
Fredrik Skjelvik(@fsk)
Biggest 7-day moves in 2028 nomination odds (Polymarket)
Where the money is
Fredrik Skjelvik(@fsk)
24h trading volume and volume spikes in 2028 nominee markets (Polymarket)
2028 nomination — headlines
Fredrik Skjelvik(@fsk)
Dynamic KPI tiles for the 2028 presidential nomination markets (Polymarket)
China Crude Oil Imports per day
Fredrik Skjelvik(@fsk)
Monthly Chinese crude oil imports in millions of barrels per day, updated weekly. JODI-Oil data with the freshest months filled from China Customs (GACC) releases
U.S. Net Exports of Petroleum Products per day
Fredrik Skjelvik(@fsk)
Daily U.S. net exports of crude oil and petroleum products, updated weekly, 2026 year-to-date. Sourced from U.S. Energy Information Administration
The hard-right polling surge
Fredrik Skjelvik(@fsk)
Smoothed national polling averages for far-right parties in Germany (AfD), France (Bardella/RN, 2027 presidential), Australia (One Nation), Norway (FrP), Austria (FPÖ) and the UK (Reform UK + Restore Britain), January 2025 to present. Updated daily.